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Abstract
ABS-21
Multivariate Time-Series Flood Prediction Using LSTM Networks and GIS-Based Visualization of Meteorological Data from BMKG
Rando (a*), Agusman (a)
Corresponding Author: Rando Rando


Question from Dr. Wardana R
2025.12.16 09:22:35

Why was short-term rainfall chosen as the primary indicator of flood potential, and not river level, discharge, or other hydrological combinations?

Reply from Mr. Rando Rando
2025.12.16 10:20:32

Short-term rainfall was chosen because it is a major trigger for flooding in coastal urban areas such as Baubau City, where intense rainfall rapidly generates surface runoff and urban inundation. Rainfall provides an earlier and more direct signal of potential flooding compared to river levels or discharge, which typically respond with a temporal delay after a rainfall event. Furthermore, BMKG rainfall data is consistently available with high temporal continuity, making it suitable for short-term forecasting and early warning purposes. River levels and discharge are recognized as important complementary indicators and will be considered in future multi-source hydrological modeling.

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