Risk Perception, Risk Management Strategies, and Determinants of Farmers Adoption in Layer Chicken Farming in Blitar Regency Muhammad Kamaluddin Mukhlis (a) Jaisy Aghniarahim Putritamara (b*)
Faculty of Animal Science and Technology, Universitas Brawijaya
Abstract
Egg producers in Indonesia face growing uncertainty from price volatility, rising feed costs, policy changes, and oversupply, yet integrated evidence on how laying hen farmers perceive and manage these risks remains scarce. This study aims to analyze farmer perceptions of five risk categories, namely production, marketing, institutional or policy, personal or labor, and financial risks, together with risk attitudes, the risk management strategies adopted, and the determinants of strategy adoption among smallholder laying hen farmers in Blitar Regency, East Java, Indonesia.
A quantitative survey will be conducted in Kademangan and Srengat Subdistricts using multistage purposive sampling. Structured questionnaires, direct observation, and documentation will be used to collect data from 150 farmers, a number that exceeds the minimum sample size of 133 calculated with the Slovin formula. Risk perceptions will be measured on a five point Likert scale and the agreement among farmers in ranking risk severity will be tested with Kendall coefficient of concordance. Risk attitudes will be classified as risk averse, risk neutral, or risk seeking according to mean attitude scores. Adoption of preventive, mitigation, and coping strategies will be described by percentage, and its determinants will be estimated with a multivariate probit model that accounts for correlation among adoption decisions. The findings are expected to provide empirical evidence for policymakers, extension services, and farmer institutions in designing targeted support for small and medium scale egg producers.
