Hotspots Model of Dengue Cases in Nueva Vizcaya
Richard J. Taclay and Reymond C. Parinas

Nueva Vizcaya State University,
University of the Philippines Baguio

Abstract

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever has become a worldwide threat. In 2018, the Philippines, along with Bangladesh, Cambodia, India, Myanmar, Malaysia, Pakistan, Thailand, and Yemen, had reported dengue cases. It should be noted that the Philippines, along with Thailand, had the first recorded DHF since the 1950s. The hotspot of dengue cases in the province of Nueva Vizcaya was identified in this study, and the prevention practices of the hotspot and cold spot areas were investigated. The study^s data was derived from confirmed dengue cases in the fifteen municipalities of Nueva Vizcaya. Moreover, Moran^s I was used to identify clustering patterns and dengue hotspots.
According to the findings, the province^s center had the highest number of reported dengue cases. Three-quarters of Nueva Vizcaya^s 275 barangays had reported dengue cases. In addition, spatial clustered patterns existed and were not attributed to random chance. Within the 99% confidence interval, there were 22 and 14 barangays in the hotspot and coldspot areas, respectively. When the prevention practices of the two groups were compared, it was discovered that barangays in coldspot areas implement dengue prevention programs more stringently. Furthermore, the modified dengue prevention program proposed was based on the most widely used dengue prevention programs in coldspot areas.

Keywords: Dengue Cases, Hotspots, Prevention Programs, Spatial Clustered Patterns

Topic: MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS