Waiting time of the Large earthquake in Cimandiri Fault using Appropriate Parameter Bayesian Online Changepoint detection algorithm
Seli Siti Sholihat (a)

a) Universitas Gunadarma, Depok, Indonesia

Abstract

Indonesia is located in pacific ring of fire and fault line. Several large earthquakes have struck in Indonesia. The latest deadly earthquake in Indonesia is in Cianjur, west java. The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) said that the cause of the Cianjur earthquake was the activity of the Cimandiri fault. Appropriate parameters of bayesian online changepoint algorithm has been proposed for detecting the early warning of mount Merapi eruption using the earthquakes data. The study is to apply the algorithm to the earthquake data around the Cimandiri fault to detect large earthquake with shallow depth. The result shows the waiting time of the large earthquake in Cimandiri Fault.

Keywords: waiting time earthquake, Cimandiri Fault, Changepoint detection

Topic: MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS